Monkinetic Weblog

Introverts in the age of #COVID19

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“That not coding pitch of mine? Wrong. Yeah. Start programming again. Start with Python or Ruby. Yeah. I mean it. Your career depends on it.” https://randsinrepose.com/archives/technicality/

"This is what I learned during 10 days of treating Covid pneumonia at Bellevue Hospital" https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/opinion/coronavirus-testing-pneumonia.html

Sanity aid

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Today is the excision for the small #melanoma on my arm. I feel like I just don't have the emotional resources for this. Any other year I could probably cope much more easily. Instead I'm feeling really freaked out and scared.

#Arizona is flattening the #COVID19 curve, but opening up businesses anytime soon is going to set us back and harm many many Arizonans. Data: http://monkinetic.blog/2020/04/22/rt-live

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(R_t) represents the effective reproduction rate of the virus calculated for each locale. It lets us estimate how many secondary infections are likely to occur from a single infection in a specific area. Values over 1.0 mean we should expect more cases in that area, values under 1.0 mean we should expect fewer.

R_t Live is tracking daily transmission rate values across the US States. My home state of Arizona is currently in a downward trend with an R_t right now of 0.77:

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Looking at the daily case numbers, you can see how small rises in R_t result in muliplicative rises in case numbers:

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We are noticeably flattening the curve in Arizona since late March, but opening up businesses and social gatherings any time soon will change these trends for the worse.