Expiring Federal social distancing guidelines
Trump seeks to further distance himself from increasingly unpopular and politically costly coronavirus lockdowns.
“Unpopular”, “politically costly”, but effective at flattening the curve. I think maybe people don’t realize that in order to #flattenthecurve on #covid19 you have to maintain the suppression activities over the life of the curve. If you stop, the curve goes back up.
This are projections for Arizona from CovidActNow.org:
Right now the “expected hospitalizations” curve is nice and flat, but lift the restrictions on activities too soon, and the demand for beds exceeds supply in about 10 days. Calling for new restrictions after they’ve been lifted would be a hard sell to a population frustrated with the isolation and hurting from the economic effects we’re already seeing. There’s no easy answer, but I believe that solutions are going to involved more government aid to – yes, small businesses – but especially to disadvantaged populations who are getting hit the worst.
